this post was submitted on 23 Oct 2024
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[–] [email protected] 36 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (12 children)

Who knows, seems likely to me, but in any case the early vote numbers /breakdowns stress me out. If Trump wins the election, I'm going to have to just get off social media, I've already had to delete YouTube, for my mental health and just live without thinking about how bad the world is getting around me.

Edit: Do not be discouraged by my doom and gloom, I'm Canadian, I can't vote, you can so go do it. Do it now if you can.

[–] [email protected] 50 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (10 children)

Absolutely do not believe the polls because every single time people show up in huge numbers to vote, Republicans lose!

Just vote, everyone. Don’t avoid it because you think it won’t matter. It will! Republicans want you to think they’ve already won. Prove them wrong!

It all went down in mid-September, at a time when the FiveThirtyEight polling averages showed the slightest of leads for Kamala Harris in North Carolina, a must-win state for Trump. Her edge was short-lived: The averages moved back to favoring Trump. And Quantus Insights, a GOP-friendly polling firm, took credit for this development. When a MAGA influencer celebrated the pro-Trump shift on X (formerly Twitter), Quantus’s account responded: “You’re welcome.”

Most prominently, Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg and data analyst Tom Bonier, who were skeptical of such predictions in 2022 and ultimately proved correct, are now warning that all this is happening again.

The Republicans got their asses handed to them in 2022, and (unfortunately) people don’t normally show up in big numbers for a midterm election. This is a presidential election, so you can expect it will be an even bigger turnout.

Don’t get discouraged. All you have to do is vote. If Trump doesn’t get elected, he can’t weasel out of his legal problems, which is his only way out of them.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 week ago (3 children)

If Trump doesn’t get elected, he can’t weasel out of his legal problems, which is his only way out of them.

In normal times you're absolutely correct. However, this isn't a traditional election. I think it's pretty clear that they're not planning on letting something like losing the election stop them from gaining power. November 5th is not the end of the war it's the start of the next battle.

You are right that voting is the best thing people can do to help us win between now and then though. We just need to be prepared to do more. Every American needs to consider the question "how much am I willing to risk to maintain democracy?" because it is more likely now than at any point in our lives that more will be required of us.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 week ago

Absolutely, but for now the best thing we can do is show up and vote and call out these misleading polls for what they are. The larger the margins are, the harder it gets to try to cheat through the courts. Of course if there is a big blue wave, we'll hear that it itself is evidence that voter fraud happened, in which they will justify with these slanted polls.

I think the other silver lining is that when it comes down too it, Trump doesn't have a large enough base that is willing to stick thier own necks out in a misguided attempt to "save" democracy. Trump.didn't get the numbers he wanted on January 6th and he won't get them this time either.

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