China is the world's second biggest producer of silver and seventh largest producer of nickel. Bonus is that the biggest producer of nickel is Indonesia, which has a free trade agreement with China and the third biggest producer is Russia (lol, lmao).
Also love the example of Sorghum because China is producer #8 in the world and 4 of the top producers are global south countries that absolutely would not cut off trade with China. Also, lmao at the thought of the CPC just collapsing because people can't get one specific type of liquor. Imagine Russia trying to undermine America by targeting its strategic vodka supply.
All this tells me is that the West doesn't produce anything that is irreplaceable to China and that the think tankers and journalists are too delusional to recognize this.
I keep telling people that China can survive without us, but we can't survive without China. They make the stuff and if things got desperate they could re-configure their economy to make the stuff they need at home. The US doesn't make the stuff and would be absolutely fucked without trade. It might get really, really messy but at the end of the day they've got real manufacturing capacity and we've got high finance autocannibalism.
If the rest of the world proves too much to be shitass barbarians I fear they may return to their historical isolationism, which may be fine for them, and would be impossible to blame them, but will leave the rest of us a bit fucked
Maybe they will let a few brics countries join them in the civilizationsphere. Not where I'm thinking either of us are though