this post was submitted on 07 Mar 2024
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Despite resounding victories on Super Tuesday, there are indications that Donald Trump is still struggling to get strong, united Republican support, which he may need in the presidential election.


Speaking to CNN about the Super Tuesday results, columnist and political commentator Molly Jong-Fast said: "There is a real 'Never Trump' contingent, and remember, Trump is a primary candidate. He has only ever tried to appeal to Republican primary voters, and he cannot marshal that group together the way he needs to.

"Part of his trick in 2016 was, he got these low-frequency voters out, these people who almost never voted, which is why the polling was so off, and you're just not seeing that same type of enthusiasm."

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[–] [email protected] 22 points 8 months ago (6 children)

Do you remember 2016? Most pollsters picked Hillary to win. It was not "super accurate". Most people were shocked by the outcome.

And no, Trump isn't "less unpopular" than Biden. That's the point of the article. Based on the current polls, Trump should not be struggling at all against a centrist candidate that no one knows (Nikki Haley). That's like a pro team having trouble beating a college team. It's not good and shows large problems.

Biden only has pressure from the left, and there isn't even a candidate that can stand against him. The "no one" votes, are mainly people saying they want a generic progressive who doesn't exist right now. In the general election, it's much harder to overcome centrists who dislike you than right or left wing voters.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 8 months ago (5 children)

I remember. The polls were accurate. The pundits were not. People were shocked because they didn't want to believe that there are really that many loathsome morons around, not because they looked at what polls said.

Here are the main polls for that race on the eve of the election. What they actually said was that the race was close to a tossup, with Clinton perhaps very slightly favoured to win.

Here and here are favourability ratings. As you can see, Trump's are substantially less negative.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Trump is going to fade the more in public he is. He is losing his mind and he fact he shits his pants and wears a diaper is starting to catch on. That's really going to hurt him. Careful with real clear politics, they were bought by right wing billionaires.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 8 months ago

The RCP website is full of garbage partisan puff pieces. But a poll average is just a poll average. It was super close in the 2022 midterms.

I don't know how anyone could've missed that Trump is moron, but if voters are indeed only now catching on, there's no sign of it yet in polling.

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