this post was submitted on 06 Mar 2024
920 points (98.2% liked)

linuxmemes

21206 readers
1788 users here now

Hint: :q!


Sister communities:


Community rules (click to expand)

1. Follow the site-wide rules

2. Be civil
  • Understand the difference between a joke and an insult.
  • Do not harrass or attack members of the community for any reason.
  • Leave remarks of "peasantry" to the PCMR community. If you dislike an OS/service/application, attack the thing you dislike, not the individuals who use it. Some people may not have a choice.
  • Bigotry will not be tolerated.
  • These rules are somewhat loosened when the subject is a public figure. Still, do not attack their person or incite harrassment.
  • 3. Post Linux-related content
  • Including Unix and BSD.
  • Non-Linux content is acceptable as long as it makes a reference to Linux. For example, the poorly made mockery of sudo in Windows.
  • No porn. Even if you watch it on a Linux machine.
  • 4. No recent reposts
  • Everybody uses Arch btw, can't quit Vim, and wants to interject for a moment. You can stop now.

  • Please report posts and comments that break these rules!

    founded 1 year ago
    MODERATORS
     

    In all seriousness it's very exciting, I just don't need to see the same information worded 20 different ways from random clickbait sites lol

    top 50 comments
    sorted by: hot top controversial new old
    [–] [email protected] 110 points 8 months ago (2 children)

    It did take like 20 years to reach 3 percent and now we're at 4 so I think it's alright to be excited.

    [–] [email protected] 21 points 8 months ago (1 children)

    Turning of the hockey stick. Invest now.

    [–] [email protected] 18 points 8 months ago (1 children)

    Ah yes, invest in Linux...

    [–] [email protected] 11 points 8 months ago

    well, you can always donate to open source projects...

    [–] [email protected] 8 points 8 months ago
    [–] [email protected] 83 points 8 months ago (11 children)

    Look....I use Linux. I love Linux. But let's be honest. That 4 percent is largely due to the steam deck; a gaming handheld where the vast majority of users don't know (or care) what operating system it uses as long as they can play their steam games on the go.

    That's not "year of the Linux desktop", because it's not a desktop. It just has one hidden under the hood if you want to dig past the steam layer (which, as I said...the vast majority of users never will)

    The year of the Linux desktop won't arrive until there is sufficient market share that software manufacturers are inclined to support us natively. That won't happen with a gaming handheld because no one would want to use a gaming handheld as a daily driver.

    Sorry to be a wet blanket, folks. Downvote away....

    [–] [email protected] 31 points 8 months ago (3 children)

    Thats like calling MacOS and Playstation rises the "year of the BSD desktop"

    Change my mind.

    [–] [email protected] 21 points 8 months ago

    Android devices are the true year of the Linux desktop.

    [–] [email protected] 5 points 8 months ago (1 children)

    Ok, compile some code on your PlayStation

    load more comments (1 replies)
    load more comments (1 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 25 points 8 months ago (1 children)

    I agree Steam Deck played a role, but they didn't sell enough to make that large of an increase. That'd be insane. However, it did cause the appearance of gaming on Linux to change, which is the thing that was holding back a large number of users.

    I had used Linux several times over the past decade or so. It was never my main OS, and I had actually stopped using it completely for probably 5 years, maybe more. This is exclusively because gaming on Linux was an issue and I didn't want to swap OSs just to play a game. Last year I went 100% Linux. I know I'm not the only one, and I'm extremely confident that the increase is mostly this, not the Steam Deck. The number of Steam Decks sold seems to be maybe 6m on the high end of estimates, which is not enough.

    The Steam Deck was a catalyst, but it is not the source of the change.

    load more comments (1 replies)
    [–] ryannathans 24 points 8 months ago

    Most computer users don't even know what an operating system is

    [–] [email protected] 23 points 8 months ago (1 children)

    Only 1.63% of Steam users were using Linux in 2023. Since pretty much all Steam Deck users are going to be using Steam, we can't attribute Linux's increase in market share to the Steam Deck alone.

    load more comments (1 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 12 points 8 months ago

    I'm pretty sure that this specific statistic leverages internet-user-agents. So a Steamdeck probably wouldn't be counted in as they aren't really used for browsing.

    [–] [email protected] 12 points 8 months ago

    That is not really true as far as I can tell. Linux is growing because it is maturing as a ecosystem. We don't need a bunch of proprietary software to have a good experience

    [–] [email protected] 8 points 8 months ago (3 children)

    The steam deck doesn't work like a regular gaming console though. Without digging you can switch into desktop mode and it works like any desktop running KDE.

    Also, if you're saying that we shouldn't count steamdecks because linux came preinstalled, we might as well disregard 98% of the windows market.

    load more comments (3 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 7 points 8 months ago (2 children)

    India, the country with the largest population, has a 15% desktop Linux marketshare.

    Additionally, these surveys are highly inaccurate. They are at best a "conservatively low balled figure". Linux installations don't send a ping to a server anywhere to count the install, and there's no other facility to gauge or count through the Linux ecosystem itself. Most computers used for Linux are also sold with Windows pre-installed, which means there's no clean way to use sales figures either.

    All that leaves is the browser user agent when visiting select websites that track and share the number of unique visitors that identify as Linux.

    I did the math a few months ago in a different discussion (not on Lemmy) and my math at the time came up to about 50 million desktop Linux users, and that was using the "official" reported numbers of 3.x% at the time.

    That also ignores that the Stack Overflow developer survey puts desktop Linux at over 50% for personal use, and (IIRC) about 47% for professional use.

    But let's be honest

    You can't be honest if you look at a single boiled down percentage of a very large, very diverse and technical landscape with more variations and caveats than the English language.

    Also, in case anyone is wondering, the Stack Overflow numbers didn't include WSL. If you do include that then desktop Linux usage was over 70% for personal use.

    load more comments (2 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 7 points 8 months ago

    It's the year of the Linux phone! Oh wait that happened like 15 years ago and now they make up like 70% of the global market!

    [–] [email protected] 6 points 8 months ago

    It is actually a good thing because "I need windows for gaming" is the biggest reason why compsci and IT people still have windows.

    You're still right that it won't win over non tech people though.

    [–] [email protected] 5 points 8 months ago

    due to the steam deck

    You sure? Not proton?

    [–] [email protected] 54 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

    Linux Mint checking in!

    [–] [email protected] 38 points 8 months ago (1 children)

    We got it? Nice... Gotta go and make a meme about it.

    [–] [email protected] 21 points 8 months ago (1 children)

    If you can't beat 'em join 'em

    [–] [email protected] 6 points 8 months ago (1 children)

    There are memes about this??? Where can I find one?

    [–] [email protected] 10 points 8 months ago (1 children)
    [–] [email protected] 8 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

    Damn, I was about to reply saying a very polite "no shit, that's the joke" then decided to check the link in case it was funny. I've been had by my own shit. Thanks for that.

    [–] [email protected] 30 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

    Every year is the year of the linux desktop. It's just that most don't know it yet.

    [–] [email protected] 27 points 8 months ago (2 children)

    Yesterday my school principal decided to install Debian on all the school computers, lol.

    [–] [email protected] 17 points 8 months ago (2 children)

    You would think schools would be all for it, especially since Microsoft office is a subscription service now.

    [–] [email protected] 14 points 8 months ago

    All the schools I have seen are using Google docs and sheets.

    load more comments (1 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 6 points 8 months ago (4 children)

    How big is the school? That seems like quite the chore for one guy

    [–] [email protected] 8 points 8 months ago

    bro manually typing sudo apt update into 200 computers before learning he couldve just cloned the drive

    load more comments (3 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 27 points 8 months ago

    every year since 2022 is the year of the Linux desktop. get used to it nerd

    [–] [email protected] 24 points 8 months ago (1 children)

    For me, the year of the Linux desktop was nineteen ninety eight when the undertaker threw mankind off hell in a cell - er, no, I mean 2017 is when I switched all my computers to Linux.

    [–] [email protected] 11 points 8 months ago (1 children)

    Everybody I found /u/shittymorph on Lemmy!!!

    load more comments (1 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 23 points 8 months ago (11 children)

    Let me make this simple for everyone. There's only a real metric for "the year of the desktop Linux" and that's whenever Microsoft and Adobe release full featured versions of all their products for Linux. Not slimmed down web versions, no emulation/virtualization/-insert.hack- BS.

    Get used it the idea, I know it hurts, but it's true.

    [–] [email protected] 11 points 8 months ago (3 children)

    The vast majority of people use a web browser, an office suite, an image viewer, a video player, and maybe some games. They'll use whatever OS came free with the machine, or whatever they can get a friend / relative to install for them.

    [–] [email protected] 7 points 8 months ago

    Most people have at least one other app that most people don't use, that they use religiously, and has little UI foibles they don't want to change. For some, it's a native-app E-mail client they're familiar with where they have 20-year-old messages backed up. For others, it's a photo management app.

    It often doesn't matter if AltWinMintbuntuXYZ has those capabilities. If it doesn't handle them in the exact same way, it's an anxiety-producing shift.

    load more comments (2 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 11 points 8 months ago (2 children)

    It's a vicious circle. Linux has no representation on the desktop because it lacks support from commonly used desktop apps. And lack support from those apps because it has no representation.

    Windows have to screw really hard to push common folks to switch AND Linux must come pre-installed on cheap desktops to appease young people that are entering the ecosystem now.

    load more comments (2 replies)
    load more comments (9 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 21 points 8 months ago (7 children)

    You'll lose your shit when it hits 5%

    [–] [email protected] 10 points 8 months ago

    Unironically, yes. That'll be a huge milestone. It'll probably happen pretty soon, too, with the way Linux adoption seems to be accelerating.

    load more comments (6 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 16 points 8 months ago (2 children)

    We finally hopped ship this year. Some small bs antifeature finally pissed us off enough to (gasp) learn something new and now I can't find my way out of Vim.

    load more comments (2 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 14 points 8 months ago

    Damn, a lot of people bought Steam Decks.

    [–] [email protected] 14 points 8 months ago (4 children)

    I'm just waiting for windows 12. If reports are to be believed, it's going to be a subscription cloud OS, probably with a thin client. If they really go through with that, then I can imagine linux gaining some ground in 2026 when windows 11 hits EOL.

    CC BY-NC-SA 4.0

    [–] [email protected] 10 points 8 months ago (2 children)

    Windows 11 EOL in 2 years?

    [–] [email protected] 7 points 8 months ago

    Quite possibly.

    Windows 8 reached end of support in only 4 years.

    Particularly if Microsoft thinks they can get away with "Operating System as a subscription" as part of "Windows 12", then they may well be very aggressive about retiring Windows 11. The software companies are falling all over themselves to force people to pay monthly in perpetuity.

    However, I'm thinking that Microsoft sees Windows as their gateway drug, so I don't think they'd risk making the base platform subscription. They want people to still get "free" OS that nags them with "hey, give us money for backup storage, and you want office, right, and oh you are a powershell user I see? Then you'll just love renting an Azure instance so we'll advertise that as part of launching a powershell prompt?" They'll of course continue the milk the OEMs for license fees offset by bloated "sampleware", and still ostensibly charge for it to drive the perception of value, but broadly Windows is more a launching board for steering people toward Microsoft subscription services.

    If they did throw the switch on "subscription for OS", then they'd risk people just getting ChromeBooks which will steer the users instead toward Google Docs and Google Drive and all the other services Microsoft expressly doesn't want users to get into.

    load more comments (1 replies)
    load more comments (3 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 8 points 8 months ago (4 children)

    Linux desktop and fusion energy have something in common, it seems.

    load more comments (4 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 8 points 8 months ago

    Upvote for Jimmy Neutron meme

    [–] [email protected] 6 points 8 months ago (2 children)

    Contrary to the idea that most of these new users come from steam decks, I've had 3 of my friends switch to or at least partially use linux. We are certainly growing.

    load more comments (2 replies)
    [–] [email protected] 6 points 8 months ago

    Yeah, everyone knows the year of Linux will be in +∞

    [–] [email protected] 5 points 8 months ago

    To forestall the year 2038 problem maybe we could just start reckoning time based on years of the linux desktop.

    Today is 06 March 33 YLD

    load more comments
    view more: next ›