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Don’t believe the hype: AGI is far from inevitable (www.ru.nl)

submitted 4 weeks ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/20858435

Will AI soon surpass the human brain? If you ask employees at OpenAI, Google DeepMind and other large tech companies, it is inevitable. However, researchers at Radboud University and other institutes show new proof that those claims are overblown and unlikely to ever come to fruition. Their findings are published in Computational Brain & Behavior today.

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[–] [email protected] 9 points 4 weeks ago (2 children)

Will AI soon surpass the human brain?
If you ask employees at OpenAI, Google DeepMind and other large tech companies, it is inevitable.

That doesn't answer the question.
If it will happen is unrelated to When it will happen.
I'd expect we'll see AGI some time between the next 20 and 200 years. I think that's pretty soon. You may not.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

If there were a giant asteroid hurling toward Earth, set to impact sometime in the next 20 to 200 years, I’d say there’s definitely a need for urgency. A true AGI is somewhat of an asteroidal impact in itself.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

A single AGI would not be to different from a human. But it may not take long for AGI to develop ASI, superior to human intelligence.

Thats not an astronaut impact but alien contact

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 weeks ago

A single AGI could be copied into a million copies near-instantly. That would be significant

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 weeks ago

None of those companies are suggesting 20 years. They're suggesting much less than 10, and selling investors on that promise.