this post was submitted on 30 Aug 2023
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I think your math is assuming FFLDX is 100% domestic stock, but according to the Fidelity research page it's ~55% domestic stock, ~35% foreign stock, ~10% bonds so it actually very closely mirrors my Roth distribution (totally accidentally however... I actually hadn't looked at it before today, I just knew the returns were only about half of the S&P500 over any given period of time).
https://imgur.com/a/Rfl38fF