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NATO Has Been Underestimating Russia’s War Machine, Estonia Says (www.bloomberg.com)

submitted 9 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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Estonia’s top military commander said fresh intelligence on Russia’s ability to produce ammunition and recruit troops has prompted a re-evaluation among NATO allies and a spate of warnings to prepare for a long-term conflict.

Martin Herem, the commander of the Estonian Defense Forces, said predictions that Russian forces would reach the limits of their resources haven’t come true. President Vladimir Putin’s military has the capacity to produce several million artillery shells a year, far outstripping European efforts, and can recruit hundreds of thousands of new troops, he said.

The general from Estonia, which shares a nearly 300-kilometer (186-mile) border with Russia, joins a growing number of North Atlantic Treaty Organization military chiefs who have warned over the past month that the alliance should prepare for a war footing with the Kremlin. Herem referenced an earlier estimate that Russia could produce a million artillery shells a year.

“A lot of people thought they couldn’t go beyond that — today, the facts tell us otherwise,” Herem said in an interview in Tallinn. “They can produce even more — many times more — ammunition.”

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 9 months ago

The only thing I'm wondering is how long it will take them to run out of meat to throw at the conflict. When all the able bodied adults are used up, are they going full Nazi Germany and recruiting prepubescent kids to go and die for their war?

Last I checked, Russia's population wasn't increasing. I'm certain that sending a nontrivial number of their population to their deaths on the front lines isn't improving that situation. So I'm not convinced that they've underestimated Russia so much as Russia has over estimated themselves. Who are they producing the ammo for? If the strong, young adults are filling the graveyards, who will fire those bullets?

I'm still unsure why the conflict is still going. I get that at first, Putin wanted to reunify former USSR territories back into Russia, but bluntly, after 2+ years of bombings and field combat between the two, they're not going to reclaim the country. Even if they win, they'll just be getting land that used to be Ukraine, since nearly the entirety of the Ukraine and it's populous is now dead or have fled to somewhere where they won't be killed.

I don't understand this war. I'm not sure I ever did. I hope it ends soon and Ukraine can continue and become a peaceful sovereign nation. I think about Ukraine often, and I hope against hope that the people of the Ukraine are staying safe.... at least, as safe as they can be given the circumstances.

Peace and long life to all of you. 🖖