this post was submitted on 10 May 2024
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The problem isn't that no one has looked into it. The problem - and this is a general one for any scientist working in climate change or environmental protection - is that we can't afford to raise a single false alarm. We can't publish bad news unless we're 100% certain, because that will give oil companies' lawyers and 'journalists' enough ammo for the next fifty years. This means that published climate predictions are usually the most optimistic and conservative estimates.