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Foundation and Reality: Asimov's Psychohistory and its Real-World Parallels
(clarkesworldmagazine.com)
Cliodynamics. The future…is not good.
this post was submitted on 12 Aug 2023
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Sometimes in the 1990th I bought an Asimov Foundation collection book with 1500 pages something. The End of the book contained 200 pages of the scientific state of "real world psychohistory" written by half a dozen scientist from various related fields.
Back then the opinion was "Asimov's vision was inspiring, far from being point on but had definitely substance."
The book contained a couple of estimates. The only thing they were wrong about was the War on Terror but also they had explicitly ruled out the possibility of predicting actions of small groups of humans anyway.