this post was submitted on 22 Jun 2023
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Lemmy has multiplied it's number of users (maybe more accurately accounts) in just few days. How much do you think is the percentage of bot accounts? Is Lemmy having problem with bot farming?

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[–] [email protected] 38 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Don't pay attention in the slightest to total users, active users is what counts.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Active users will probably drop off as the Reddit dust settles, but I'm liking it so far, not really that much of a jarring change once you get past the ActivityPub shananigans.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 year ago

Once 3rd party apps don’t work on July 1st, that will be the real test

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago (2 children)

It'll drop a little, but to a significantly higher level than it was before.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

Yeah, something similar happened to VRChat a year ago, Neos and ChilloutVR had crazy spikes in signups in the first few days of the controversy but eventually ended up with around 2x-5x online users afterwards.

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

@dessalines @1337tux but if they're bots they'd still count as active users assuming they aren't idle.

In the end, neither really matters, assuming the bots aren't causing you or your server trouble, like the thousands of posts taghing GNU SOCIAL users repeatedly a couple weeks ago. Could still be happening on instances with absantee admins. (like my original GNU SOCIAL account of @[email protected])

[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 year ago

One of my communities tripled in size in 2 days, with people making OC posts and no spam (so far). Other communities get a bit more lively too. Doesn't seem like it's just bots.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 year ago (1 children)

There's obviously bots, but some folks do multiple accounts as default (I do for sure), and others just want to have a bit of padding against instance failure. Others don't realise you don't need to have an account on an instance to access it lol.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Others don’t realise you don’t need to have an account on an instance to access it lol.

this, i think, is going to be the biggest hurdle for getting people to join the fediverse. we need seamless ways to view and subscribe to magazines on other instances than our own. either that or we need one to get big enough that it simply eats the smaller instances.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

You had me right up until that last bit - As it is I'd argue there's too much centralization. For one thing, people underestimate the technical considerations of hosting a reddit sized social media service. Once you reach a certain point, just moving to a bigger server isn't sufficient. Also there's the money issue of a single instance hosting all of lemmy.

But even more so than all that, the decentralization is the whole point of the fediverse.if all of lemmy was on one instance, we'd pretty much just be right where we were with Reddit, at the mercy of whoever owns that instance. When things are properly decentralized, if an instance owner goes on a power trip, it's users can simply migrate away, and there would be plenty of other instances of equal size with lots of content. If one instance ate all the others, you'd have to rebuild from scratch if you moved

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[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Have all of the Lemmy instances (and kbin ones, too) now added email requirements, captcha, and maybe the little paragraph asking why you should have an account that Beehaw does?

Also, how do you identify bot accounts? Can you bulk ban accounts or.do they all have to be examined and dealt with individually?

ETA: I wasn't suggesting the paragraph. Just wondering what the instances are putting in to prevent bots. I actually tried to sign up for Beehaw, wrote my little paragraph, and then got the pinwheel of death, lol. I was never able to sign up, but lucked out with a kbin.social account. I have to add that it's pretty disappointing to be downvoted for simply asking a question. Feels like what I left at Reddit.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago (5 children)

good grief i hope not. Email & captcha are reasonable; a short form essay on why you should be graced with the ability to participate is super cringe.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

Join request forms do a good job at doing what they're designed to do.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Yeah I was a bit weirded out by that, it's like what, am I joining a cult? Anyway I actually signed up on a number of instances in search of one I like and only a couple were using an application. The rest were just captcha plus email.

I think they should come up with a better mechanism than an application. I understand the need to verify a signer is actually a human being, but an application is pretty off-putting. Problem is there's bots that can get around captcha and email authentication, AI keeps getting smarter.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (2 children)

"ChatGPT, write me a paragraph about why I want to join an internet forum in first person"

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Yeah ChatGPT could fill out an application as well. In fact AI is getting to the point now where it would be hard to tell even by voice. Though it's also a matter of effort on the part of the exploiter. They don't have to make it zero occurrence, just enough to keep it at bay.

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago

Sounds like it sorts out the right kind of people? I'm not aware of anyone actually asking you to write an essay, no one would do that. 2 short answer questions does not an essay make.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

It is too easy to fake e-mails. You can set up a catch-all e-mail domain and spam the registration like that. I am not a fan of giving my e-mail nor collecting other people's e-mails.

My current message contains the following:

Please leave a short message (a sentence or two is enough) stating why you would like to join this instance and I will accept your application as soon as possible. The purpose of this form is to filter out spam bots, not to judge your motivation for joining.

It is not about them writing an essay to be let in. It is a very effective strategy to weed out spam accounts being registered in masse. One step is to make sure that the user made a cohesive sentence that addressees the question, and the other step is to check whether there is a sudden spike of similar new applications. Even ignoring the actual text, it is useful to be able to monitor whether you getting rate-limited bursts of account creations, and having the ability to approve/deny allows you to respond with less effort than if they succeed at creating the accounts.

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[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I think the growth in the last couple of days has been mostly bots.

l can see a sharp decline in real sign ups on my instance after the initial big wave before and during the 3 day Reddit blackout.

Maybe there will be another wave early next month but currently it has nearly completely dried up.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

I think this cements worries that some people who are trying to run these servers don't actually understand the severity of the bot-problem online and aren't doing enough to protect themselves, not even the basics. It makes you wonder what kind of other basic cybersecurity protections they haven't set up on their servers, or if their servers are even hardened at all.

I wonder how much (if any) of this is driven by reddit to create more ambiguity to people's feelings about the fediverse? It's totally possible it's all "organic" bot growth, but if they're willing to go to the lengths they have against their own users, I also wouldn't put it past them to be trying to destroy the credibility of any "competitors" in the space.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Why do you think it's bits? I haven't noticed any bot activity.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

They are currently dormant, but those thousands of new accounts on some instances clearly show every sign of being auto-generated.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

The admins and mods are keeping them at bay, but it could easily get out of control. At this point it's transparent which it normally is when mods and admins are holding the line, but the soldiers are at the gates.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I saw some very big instances on fedidb yesterday. I looked at a few.... Completely empty instances, no communities, no posts, but 24k users.

I'm pretty sure those are all bot/spam accounts. So the numbers right now are very inflated imho.

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[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Yes, there's a bot problem. fedidb.org now shows the following message:

A spambot influx has been observed on Lemmy instances, inflating total user counts.

We recommend using Active Users as a better metric to gauge growth.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Do you know how active users are defined because I don't usually make my own posts but I upvote and comment every now and then?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

Something like fedi observer can probably only gauge posts and comments, so active users will severely undercount people actually using the platform. But we should expect posting users to grow proportionally with less visible but active users.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Something like fedi observer can probably only gauge posts and comments, so active users will severely undercount people actually using the platform. But we should expect posting users to grow proportionally with less visible by active users.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Ok so how is the active user growth?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Extremely low compared to the total growth: Per https://lemmy.fediverse.observer/dailystats Lemmy grew from 150,000 to 1,150,000 total users in the last four days, but for the active users, the growth was 30,000 to 39,000. If you extrapolate that, there are maybe 200,000 real Lemmy users now.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Compared to account growth that's low but a 33% growth in four days is hard to call "low"

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago (5 children)

I wonder how people come up with the bot superstition? Just a feeling or is there any valid indication of massive influx of bot accounts?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

I think it's a combination of things. There are real users who have migrated to Lemmy because of reddit's horrible treatment of its users and there are also bots being created but that's normal on the internet.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

@DerWilliWonka @1337tux yeah, I'm guessing a lot, I didn't save the post, but I saw earlier this week some instances that were spun up brand new and in less than an hour had >5,000 users.

One of many reasons to recommend against allowing open sign-up on your instance. A lot htat have been around for longer, like lemmy.ca, require you to request an account, and answer some questions (like why do you want your accoutn on this particularl instance) and a real person clicks the check-mark button.

Some new users will be annoyed by such, but the truth is if they are annoyed by that, they probably aren't going to be good fedizens open to following good netiquette anyway.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

I can always appreciate a good /r/TheoryOfReddit post on bots. But yeah. Despite the regularity that bots are blamed for everything, rarely is there any proof other than an expressed feeling by a live user.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (14 children)

Experience, mainly.

I used to run a phpbb forum, on average the bot signups outnumbered the real people 10 or 20 times. And that was with some fairly robust anti spam measures in place - something I think this platform is too new to have properly sorted out yet.

I may be wrong, I don't know how the back end here works, but any place where people can post publicly will be infested with bot signups very quickly. The only real variable is how good the anti spam measures are.

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[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

How much do you think is the percentage of bot accounts?

...yes.

Is Lemmy having problem with bot farming?

Will have one at some point. For not it seems most of them are created, but don't post anything (yet).

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Think what will happen when they start to post and comment. They will probably just get defederated.

Edit: Now that I looked the stats, there's huge spike in posts and comments.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (2 children)

you can't just defederate individuals accounts, these bots have their home on places like shit and world

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The moderator can block them?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

individualy delete thousands? sure, it could be done, but that's a lot of work and sure to create some false positives.

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Yeah, Lemmy bot net. I looked at one server and it was ridiculous the number of users vs active. My guess is the servers that had open signups got hammered with bot signups

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

It's also possible people are making accounts to see what it is but not doing anything yet, but I agree there are probably lots of bots

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

So it went from a few thousand users to a million within the timespan of less than a month. That's insane

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

How did you get this measurement?

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

It is hard to say. Lemmy is doing well though.

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