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Probably kinda likely, I think?
Manufacturing, storing, shipping and supporting two different models of basically the same phone is probably more expensive than just deploying the one model with the removable battery everywhere.
To elaborate a bit: This is very different than providing models with different radios/modems for different markets. A different radio/modem probably only requires a single, different component(?). A model with a replacable battery requires a different battery design, a different case design, different seals (to make it waterproof) and most likely a different PCB layout, too. That is a tremendous amount of effort compared to swapping out a component or two on an otherwise identical phone.
That's why I think it's not unlikely that replacable batteries might become much more common globally once this law is being implemented and applied.
that is how the eu can regulate the world